Tight Race Between Trump and Harris: Who Will Win the Election?

Hamia Naderi

TarzPress

28 October 2024

resizecom_مناظره.jpeg

Tarz Press: The latest polling results indicate a very close race between Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee and current vice president, and Donald Trump, the Republican candidate. As the U.S. presidential election on November 5 approaches, neither candidate has managed to secure a clear lead.

Polling Trends

According to the latest CNN poll conducted by the SSRS institute, both candidates are tied, each garnering about 47% of the potential voters’ support. This reflects an intense and competitive race, with neither candidate breaking away from the margin of error in the polls.

The Emerson College poll shows Harris slightly ahead with 48% support compared to Trump’s 45%. Meanwhile, a separate poll from The New York Times/Siena College also indicates 48% support for both candidates. In September, Harris had 48% support among likely voters, compared to Trump’s 47%. These shifts show a persistent and close contest between the two candidates.

The State of the Race

Polls also reveal that Harris holds a stronger position among women, while Trump is leading among men. These gendered voting trends reflect broader patterns in U.S. elections, where men are more inclined to support Trump, and women are more likely to vote for Harris.

Key Battleground States

Critical states such as Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin are expected to play a decisive role in determining the winner of this race. U.S. media emphasize that victories in these key battleground states could ultimately determine the outcome of the election.

The Impact of the Electoral College

In the U.S. electoral system, the president is elected through the Electoral College, not by a direct popular vote. A total of 538 electoral votes are available, and a candidate needs 270 to win. This system means voters are essentially casting their ballots for electors, not directly for the candidates themselves.

As the election draws near, predicting the outcome becomes increasingly difficult. This race represents not only a political battle but also two contrasting visions for American society. Only time will tell which candidate will be elected as the next U.S. president and what impact this will have on the political future of the country.